Stories from outlets with right-leaning audiences were modestly less likely to be framed around ideology and agenda (59%), but that still constituted a majority of stories. Voters in the swing states have said that if protests continue right up to the election, that hurts Trumps chances of re-election However, just as in the coverage studied, U.S. adults in the right-only and tend-right diets are most likely to say it has been mainly negative (35% and 32%, respectively, versus 6% of the left-only group and 4% of the tend-left group). White Catholics made up 14% of all voters. Bidens a puppet and wont be the man in charge hes very scripted and controlled by others At the same time, Bidens advantage over Trump among Hispanic voters who did not have a college degree was far narrower (55% to 41%). There are four key metrics in examining the medias coverage of the early days of a new administration: the topics of those stories, the assessments of the administration, and the framing and the sources used. Across the 25 news outlets studied, five broad topics accounted for two-thirds (67%) of all the coverage related to the Biden administration. Cumulatively across the S&P 500, Trump is at 28.44% compared to Biden at 7.71% a difference of 20.72%. Trump looks too eager to argue and fight, not work out solutions with Democrats That puts Harris' rating under . With that, I note the relevant comments from the focus groups: Trump hasnt handled the pandemic response well its time for someone new Another 42 percent of Americans disapprove of what Biden has done so far as president, including 81 percent of Republicans and 43 percent of independents. COVID-19 focus: In this study, each story was assessed for the extent to which COVID-19 was mentioned as part of the story. Pew Research Center conducted this study to understand the news media coverage of the early days of the Biden administration and Americans perceptions of that coverage. (+1) 202-419-4300 | Main Most notably, both administrations have done devastating harm to millions of forcibly displaced people, who came here looking for safety and opportunity only to become victims of a system that has left them stranded and vulnerable. among advocates who already fought similar bans under Trump. The gender gap in the 2020 election was narrower than it had been in 2016 as Democrats made gains among men and Republicans made gains among women. In 2020, 85% of voters who cast a ballot for Trump were White non-Hispanic; this compares with just 61% of Biden voters. At the same time, the publics sense of news coverage of the Biden administration is more positive than the study of the news coverage reveals: 46% of U.S. adults say that the early coverage theyve seen about the Biden administration offered mostly positive assessments, far more than the 14% who say theyve seen mostly negative ones. Most also say the coverage has been largely fair rather than unfair (76% vs. 21%) and accurate rather than inaccurate (69% vs. 26%). The survey also asked how much Americans had heard about each of seven specific efforts and initiatives of the new administration. All others are categorized as neither positive nor negative. Under Donald Trump, Americans were confronted with a near-constant onslaught of racist, anti-immigrant rhetoric and policy, especially regarding the US-Mexico border, as the same man who led chants about building a wall there won the 2016 presidential election and took control of the Oval Office for the next four years. With Trump, the numbers were roughly reversed, with 74% framed around leadership and character and 26% around policy and ideology. Pew Research Center conducted this study to understand how Americans voted in 2020 and how their turnout and vote choices differed from 2016 and 2018. Panelists for whom a record of voting was located are considered validated voters; all others are presumed not to have voted. With less than a month until Election Day, Joe Biden maintains his lead over Donald Trump in the presidential race. The Center has analyzed news coverage of the beginning of each of the five presidential administrations since President Bill Clinton in 1993. President Joe Biden (L) waves alongside his son Hunter Biden after attending mass at Holy Spirit Catholic Church in Johns Island, S.C., on Aug. 13, 2022. 1. Roughly two-thirds of Trump voters (68%) said they voted in person, either on (38%) or before (30%) Election Day. These qualities are notably absent from Bidens arsenal. Source types: The study also measured 13 different types of sources that might be cited in a story: This measure identifies the presence of atypeof source in any given article, not the total number of individual sources. This . In contrast, rural voters were more likely to report voting in person on Election Day. In the 2018 election, Democrats substantially narrowed the gap with men (50% of men voted for Democratic candidates, 48% for Republican candidates) while maintaining an 18-point lead among women. All original content copyright 2003-2014 by Wizbang, LLC. And with Biden now shifting to the center and immigration looming as a liability issue in the 2024 presidential election for Democrats most of whom get sucked into the xenophobic right-wing narrative without figuring out how to defend the benefits of the American melting pot progressives, advocates and millions of migrants should brace for a tough foreseeable future. At intellectual war with the Demonic Left, DJ posts whatever is on his mind, and sometimes has been known to be worth the read. Overall, third-party 2016 voters who turned out in 2020 voted 53%-36% for Biden over Trump, with 10% opting for a third-party candidate. Pew Research Center does not take policy positions. Biden has shown signs of dementia and is not mentally capable of being president he cant finish a sentence and speaks gibberish Now I should mention another important point about my analysis. The community profiles of Trump and Biden voters are similar in some fundamental ways to the previous two elections but more voters who cast ballots for Biden in 2020 say they live in a suburban area compared with Clintons 2016 voters. Overall, 58% of Trump voters were Protestant, compared with just 35% of Biden voters. Thus far, that theory hasnt really panned out the US has continued to experience record-breaking numbers of migrants and asylum seekers at its south-west boundary, despite decades of presidents pursuing this paradigm of prevention through deterrence. While a traditional SWOT analysis follows the S-W-O-T pattern, I will start by building the case against him, then follow with the good news, so my analysis will actually follow a W-T-S-O pattern, which is less elegant as an acronym, but which I think presents the situation in a proper light. For example, just 17% of the stories in the right-leaning audience group used sources who are experts or members of issue groups, compared with 31% of stories in the mixed-audience outlets and 39% of stories in the left-leaning group. Preferences were more evenly divided among those who cast their ballots in person ahead of Election Day: 52% voted for Trump while 47% voted for Biden. The areas of coverage people say they are getting most of from their main sources broadly align with the share of coverage devoted to each in Part 1. See Methodology for details. Most swing voters fell they are personally better off than they were 4 years ago, even considering the pandemic. FILE - Former President Donald Trump announces a third run for president as he speaks at Mar-a-Lago in Palm Beach, Fla., Nov. 15, 2022. Winners Weekend Caption Contest Week of April, Weekend Caption Contest Week of April 14,, Trump, History and the Survival of America, Winners Weekend Caption Contest Week of March, Weekend Caption Contest Week of March 24,. Voters leaning to Biden said Trump could win them back if he were to show empathy, stop tweeting, and act like a president. Biden stopped applying the aggressive policy to unaccompanied kids but has continued to expel individuals and families. The surveys are weighted to be representative of the U.S. adult population by gender, race, ethnicity, partisan affiliation, education, turnout and vote choice in the three elections, and many other characteristics. 1615 L St. NW, Suite 800Washington, DC 20036USA Asian Americans (a relatively small but fast-growing group in the U.S.) made up 4% of voters and an identical share of nonvoting citizens (note: nonvoters in this analysis do not include noncitizens). The one area where there was less divergence by media outlet group, however, was in the framing of the Biden stories. All members of the American Trends Panel who took the 2020 post-election survey whether they voted or not were asked which candidate they preferred in the race for president. The Center has also conducted similar analyses for the early months of the four prior administrations: those of Donald Trump, Barack Obama, George W. Bush and Bill Clinton. Joe Biden is leading President Donald Trump by double-digits among registered voters, according to a new poll by The New York Times and Siena College. Under the practice, migrants can be swiftly repatriated without ever seeing a judge. This way nearly all U.S. adults have a chance of selection. By contrast, older age groups divided fairly evenly between Biden and Trump, a result not too different from 2016. Trump is seen as the law & order candidate while Democrats are seen as hurting our safety Finally, on the DOW Jones, Trump is at 33.85% compared to Biden at 8.78% a difference of 25.07%. That's because the 2024 Republican primary will not be a two-person race. These shares were reversed among absentee and mail-in voters: 65% of absentee voters said they voted for Biden, compared with 33% who voted for Trump. Other Democrats are younger and nimbler, but Biden has been a better president than many expected - and he could be Donald Trump's nemesis again Fri 14 Apr 2023 07.00 EDT Last modified on Fri . Markets Roundup The latest news & analysis. Detailed descriptions about the focus groups include the detail that these group each lasted more than two hours in length, making sure every voter in the groups got heard, and had a chance to comment on issues they felt were important, a sharp distinction from the brief-as-possible polls which limited voters to multiple-choice responses, and sometimes only an either/or choice. These topics and storylines were in turn grouped into three broad topic categories, in addition to an other category: Frame:When reporting a story about a specific topic, there are various frames that journalists can use to orient the narrative. (+1) 202-857-8562 | Fax News coverage of Bidens early days in office varied across outlet groups, with more focus on policy agenda than leadership, character, Part 1: Study of coverage by 25 news outlets during the first 60 days of Biden administration, Part 2: Survey of U.S. adults views of news coverage of the Biden administration, Terminology for elements of news coverage studied, 1. Only among members of the Silent Generation, ages 75 to 92 in 2020, was Trump clearly favored (by 58%-42%). But those numbers varied widely by types of media outlets. Also, by significant margins, those in the right-only group are likeliest to say climate policy (64%) and the COVID-19 pandemic (57%) are getting too much attention. . Let's look at the overall sentiment. Those who get political news only from outlets with right-leaning audiences vary about a third (34%) say they see their news sources covering immigration the most, 27% say this of the coronavirus outbreak and 21% say the U.S. economy gets the most coverage from their sources. Bidens policy and agenda framed the majority of coverage overall (65%), including 68% of the stories from outlets with mixed audiences and 65% of stories from outlets with left-leaning audiences. Some nuances emerge, though, within peoples media diets. Biden received the support of 92% of Black voters, nearly the same as Clinton received in 2016 and Democratic candidates for the U.S. House received in 2018. If Trump can speak and act with better leadership, he can reshape his image and regain support from voters. Although the Biden administration eventually announced it was planning to end Title 42 restrictions last year, pending litigation has kept them in place for the foreseeable future. So how is it, with these comments, that Biden is leading in the polls, and Trump seems almost desperate? Reflecting these differences, Trump performed much better among voters who cast their ballots in person on Election Day (65% for Trump vs. 33% for Biden). All of the Michigan trump supporters said they were pro Trump not Anti Biden indicating enthusiasm, while none of the Biden supporters were pro Biden, they were only anti Trump. However, since the Afghanistan withdrawal, Biden's dipped below his predecessor . Overall, urban voters continue to constitute a larger share of the Democratic coalition compared with the Republican coalition. US turns back growing number of undocumented people after arduous sea journeys, Love across the border: a couples 13-year quest to be reunited in the US, Original reporting and incisive analysis, direct from the Guardian every morning. But support for Biden among the unaffiliated was not quite as lopsided as Trumps support among White evangelicals (a 45-point margin for Biden among the unaffiliated vs. a 69-point margin for Trump among White evangelicals). Roughly half (49%) knew that the administration has both reentered the Paris agreement and rescinded construction permits for the Keystone XL pipeline, 43% correctly said that the administration has stopped federal funding for the border wall but not ordered that the wall be dismantled, and 33% knew at the time of the survey that the Biden administration was meeting its goal of vaccinating 1 million Americans per day. Trump stands out, while Bidens never done anything to stand out Voters like that Trump is not a politician Trump has grown weary of the whole mess, and has made a couple misstatements which the media has used to damage his image. Read our research on: Congress | Economy | Gender. (+1) 202-419-4372 | Media Inquiries. Voters believe Biden will bring respect back to the presidency and to our country. A majority of Biden voters said they voted absentee or by mail in the 2020 election (58%). Everyone who completed the survey is a member of the Centers American Trends Panel (ATP), an online survey panel that is recruited through national, random sampling of residential addresses. Adults with a high school education or less were 29% of all voters but half of nonvoters. For those unfamiliar with the term, SWOT refers to Strength/Weakness/Opportunities/Threats, and is used to help business planners understand their condition and situation in context. Most controversially, Mr. Biden has kept Trump-era tariffs on China, despite the fact that some economists and several top U.S. officials, including Treasury Secretary Janet L. Yellen, question. For now, though, Mr. Biden has managed to do what Mr. Trump repeatedly promised but never could pull off: move forward on a big-spending, bipartisan deal to rebuild American roads, bridges, water . 1615 L St. NW, Suite 800Washington, DC 20036USA In 2020, the age profiles of Democratic and Republican voters looked largely similar to 2016. In looking at how the exposure to news stories lines up with the topics that received more or less coverage in Part 1, the two storylines Americans were most likely to have heard a lot about passage of the economic stimulus bill and the distribution of the vaccine align with the two topic areas to receive the most coverage: the economy and health care. On balance, these shifts helped Biden a little more than Trump. This analysis joins a growing body of research seeking to achieve a more accurate assessment of the 2020 election, each based on somewhat different sources of data.2 Different methods and data sources have unique strengths and weaknesses, meaning that specific estimates are likely to vary among the studies and no single resource can be considered definitive. As was the case in the 2016 and 2018 elections, the Democratic voting coalition in 2020 looked quite different from the Republican coalition in several respects. For our analysis of the content published by news organizations in the early days of the Biden administration, we group news organizations by the political party and ideology of their audiences. Rich Thau, the project coordinator, has released a lot of interesting comments by voters on these panels, although he admits his sample size is too small to represent a poll in its own right. Comparing early news coverage of Biden with that of past administrations among a smaller mix of outlets, 4. White non-Hispanic adults were 72% of voters in 2020 but just 55% of nonvoting citizens. (For more details, see Methodology.). Trump gets credit from some voters for de-escalating tensions with Iran even as he confronts Iranian nuclear misconduct All rights reserved. Americans in the mixed media group are also most likely to say the pandemic is getting the most attention from their main news sources (53%), with the economy next at 21%. The Swing Voter Project contacts voters who voted in the 2012 and 2016 elections in key swing states. The same share of stories about each president were neither positive nor negative (45% for both Biden and Trump). The study also catalogued the presence in each story of 13 possible types of sources. Even on the day that President Joe Biden delivered his most jarring warning yet that democracy is in severe danger, Donald Trump teased how he might use a new White House term to further erode . This report includes two main elements: A content analysis of news coverage of the first 60 days of the Biden administration by 25 major news outlets, which can be compared with early coverage of the Trump administration and previous administrations dating back to 1993; and a survey of 12,045 U.S. adults conducted March 8-14, 2021, as part of . Passage of the economic stimulus bill and the distribution of the COVID-19 vaccine topped the list, with nearly eight-in-ten U.S. adults (77%) saying they had heard a lot about the stimulus package and 74% hearing a lot about vaccine distribution. 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